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0 of 4 official lineups confirmed. Confirmed hitters are FINAL; every other hitter remains PRELIMINARY. Latest official-card change 5:08 AM ET.

Understood: 2 legs · ranked by disagreement

Ranked by model-vs-market disagreement (market-implied on unflagged legs) · combos drawn from the 48 strongest legs of 150 priced

Joint 48.5% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 4.30x · fair-at-joint 2.06x · book hold 11.5%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.485

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Gavin Williams (CLE vs CWS) K under 7.5 @ +100 [FanDuel] — model 67.5% vs implied 47.1% · 1932 BF

Joint 41.9% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 4.58x · fair-at-joint 2.39x · book hold 12.2%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.426

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Andrew Benintendi [PRELIMINARY] (CLE vs CWS) hits over 0.5 @ +113 [DraftKings] — model 58.3% vs implied 43.9% · 1883 AB

Joint 41.9% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 4.39x · fair-at-joint 2.39x · book hold 11.8%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.404

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Andrew Benintendi [PRELIMINARY] (CLE vs CWS) total_bases over 0.5 @ +104 [BetOnline.ag] — model 58.3% vs implied 46.0% · 1883 AB

Joint 40.9% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 4.60x · fair-at-joint 2.44x · book hold 11.0%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.399

  • [MODEL] Gavin Williams (CLE vs CWS) K under 7.5 @ +100 [FanDuel] — model 67.5% vs implied 47.1% · 1932 BF
  • [MODEL] Freddy Peralta (NYY vs TB) K over 5.5 @ +130 [FanDuel] — model 60.6% vs implied 41.1% · 2640 BF

Joint 46.8% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 3.72x · fair-at-joint 2.14x · book hold 12.3%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.393

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Nathaniel Lowe [PRELIMINARY] (CLE vs CWS) hits over 0.5 @ -137 [DraftKings] — model 65.2% vs implied 54.0% · 2032 AB

Joint 45.0% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 3.82x · fair-at-joint 2.22x · book hold 12.3%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.382

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Travis Bazzana [PRELIMINARY] (CLE vs CWS) hits over 0.5 @ -129 [DraftKings] — model 62.7% vs implied 52.6% · 453 AB ⚠ LOW HISTORY

Joint 52.6% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 3.18x · fair-at-joint 1.90x · book hold 12.0%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.380

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Steven Kwan [PRELIMINARY] (CLE vs CWS) hits over 0.5 @ -209 [DraftKings] — model 73.2% vs implied 63.4% · 2285 AB

Joint 42.1% — loses about 1 of 2 times · quoted 4.10x · fair-at-joint 2.38x · book hold 12.4%

2 of 2 legs model-backed · net disagreement +0.378

  • [MODEL] Cam Schlittler (NYY vs TB) K under 6.5 @ +115 [Fanatics] — model 71.8% vs implied 43.7% · 842 BF ⚠ LOW HISTORY
  • [MODEL] Kyle Teel [PRELIMINARY] (CLE vs CWS) total_bases over 0.5 @ -110 [Caesars] — model 58.6% vs implied 48.9% · 385 AB ⚠ LOW HISTORY

Numbers like these, graded in public every night.

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